0x7f163de1949e77ea0ed32520cf6469232c0220b7
0x7f163de1949e77ea0ed32520cf6469232c0220b7
- Realised P&L
- $-15.45
- Volume
- $847.73
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $19.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.425 | $8.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.280 | $5.60 | −$3.40 |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028? · No | 0.390 | 0.385 | $5.57 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.810Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.640Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by November 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.190Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by November 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.540Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.390Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 13:58 | Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 10-23 20:04 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.485 | $8.73 |
| 10-23 20:02 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.52865625 | $16.92 |
| 10-21 19:04 | Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.22 |
| 10-19 18:15 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 10-19 06:11 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.05 |
| 10-19 04:22 | Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |