sizzle178
0x7f0cc24ea05adae64ac25447341b524f9a09ca30
- Realised P&L
- $4.69
- Volume
- $796.26
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $108.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.46at 0.951Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.98at 0.686Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.95at 0.607Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.39at 0.974Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.27at 0.947Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:57 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%? | BUY | 0.9869999891 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:21 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9429999679 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:21 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9909997404 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:19 | Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:19 | Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:19 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:18 | Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:18 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in November? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:18 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $830 in November? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:17 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:16 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in November? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:16 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in November? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |