0x7eea96b1185be204448cd6e669a2dc7b7082fb67
0x7eea96b1185be204448cd6e669a2dc7b7082fb67
- Realised P&L
- $-80.76
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $9.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.987 | $4.56 | +$0.11 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.295 | $1.84 | +$0.84 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 1.000 | $1.07 | +$0.06 |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.270 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.240 | 0.185 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.88at 0.594Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$4.47at 0.499Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?
- +$3.42at 0.913Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$2.53at 0.291Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.22at 0.600Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:38 | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:37 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 13:33 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0849999634 | $2.08 |
| 09-07 13:31 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 22:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 04:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 03:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 13:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 21:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1949998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 21:07 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.572 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 04:58 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3859998487 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 12:49 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.3349998476 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 21:36 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5289999438 | $2.71 |
| 05-13 21:35 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2119998389 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 20:06 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-08? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |