PolyBot

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Traders

Alpheo

0x7eaa1446a6d9b5f83356f7cdeb4eae42bac2fd24

Realised P&L
$9.4k
Volume
$579.7k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$88.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9250.998$39.9k+$2.9k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? · No0.8800.930$18.6k+$1.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.9400.945$14.3k+$77.24
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No0.8500.997$14.2k+$2.1k
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? · No0.9610.992$1.7k+$53.07
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by October 30, 2026? · No0.9550.976$91.50+$1.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$700.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 05:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?SELL0.997$5.0k
10-14 06:16Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.95$4.1k
10-12 05:50Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?BUY0.975$58.50
10-09 06:43Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?BUY0.96$1.6k
10-08 06:02Houthis enter Aden by October 15, 2026?BUY0.95$1.5k
10-05 06:44Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?BUY0.99$3.2k
09-29 06:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.997$10.0k
09-24 07:08Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?BUY0.71$912.52
09-20 06:55Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7970263206$5.0k
09-20 06:54Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9497558957$3.2k
09-14 06:28Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8$707.75
09-13 09:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.9081567415$1000.00
09-13 09:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.8668130964$1.0k
09-13 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.9033625904$1000.00
09-13 08:42Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.00133184$6.66