PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7e847c9bcf61a5a5fce564260b19ec096101d064

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$305.4k
Markets traded
7,070
Open portfolio
$5.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,070
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1100.118$3.95+$0.27
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.5940.017$0.75$25.39
Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0180.011$0.28$0.18
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5000.003$0.26$51.04
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.1040.034$0.17$0.35
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.020$0.10+$0.01
Will Strava not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1300.007$0.07$1.07
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0420.004$0.02$0.19
Will Stephanie Allen win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes0.5000.002$0.01$4.54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 16? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$16.04
Will Malena Adrada be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Filip Forsberg win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$2.76
Will Jesper Bratt win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$87.29
Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$134.57
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 17? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$9.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 16:56Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$2.08
07-16 16:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4169999027$2.10
07-12 15:27Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.611$4.22
07-12 15:27Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.811$4.21
07-12 15:27Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.784$4.23
07-12 15:27Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.799$4.21
07-12 15:26France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?SELL0.69$1.04
07-12 15:26France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfSELL0.79$3.13
07-12 15:26France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfSELL0.69$1.04
07-12 15:26France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.4$3.08
07-12 15:11Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.811$1.05
07-12 15:11France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.7$1.06
07-12 15:11France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.8$1.06
07-12 15:11France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.41$1.05
07-12 15:11Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.612$1.06