PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7E4A45c2e9A3F3527f814Dd54b1d7FDc023e57Ce-1766250086073

0x7e4a45c2e9a3f3527f814dd54b1d7fdc023e57ce

Realised P&L
$-99.47
Volume
$27.5k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$9.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.1420.155$3.17+$0.27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.165$1.94−$0.06
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes0.1800.170$1.89−$0.11
Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No0.0800.050$1.67−$1.00
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes0.0560.034$1.22−$0.78
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs · ODDIK0.3570.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$0.35
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? · No0.1750.000$0.00−$36.00
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · No0.0350.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$14.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.4060.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands? · No0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 11:54Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0349999995$2.00
10-03 10:20Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.03$3.00
10-03 10:18Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.1419663981$2.90
10-03 10:11Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
10-03 10:04Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.08$2.67
10-03 10:03Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.1799999856$2.00
10-03 10:03Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.0558139524$2.00
06-06 17:26Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2SELL0.32$18.82
06-06 16:30Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BUY0.5099999952$30.00
06-06 16:24Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2SELL0.99$30.07
06-06 16:12Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2SELL0.06$0.78
06-06 15:37Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BUY0.2299999456$3.00
06-06 15:36Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BUY0.8230860743$25.00
04-02 17:21Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETBUY0.5$2.78
04-02 17:20Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.349999965$5.77