0x7E4A45c2e9A3F3527f814Dd54b1d7FDc023e57Ce-1766250086073
0x7e4a45c2e9a3f3527f814dd54b1d7fdc023e57ce
- Realised P&L
- $-99.47
- Volume
- $27.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $9.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.09at 0.160Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$18.24at 0.147Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?
- +$12.74at 0.151Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?
- +$8.54at 0.657Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$5.75at 0.668Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 11:54 | Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 10:20 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 10:18 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.1419663981 | $2.90 |
| 10-03 10:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 10:04 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.67 |
| 10-03 10:03 | Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 10:03 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.0558139524 | $2.00 |
| 06-06 17:26 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | SELL | 0.32 | $18.82 |
| 06-06 16:30 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $30.00 |
| 06-06 16:24 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | SELL | 0.99 | $30.07 |
| 06-06 16:12 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | SELL | 0.06 | $0.78 |
| 06-06 15:37 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 06-06 15:36 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.8230860743 | $25.00 |
| 04-02 17:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.78 |
| 04-02 17:20 | Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.349999965 | $5.77 |