PolyBot

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Traders

0x7e278EDb6d8dEc8Ec28016FDF359A7Ba323168A2-1765640485716

0x7e278edb6d8dec8ec28016fdf359a7ba323168a2

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$123.7k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$11.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MOUZ Make a Roster Change by December 31? · Yes0.5600.315$6.30$4.90
Will Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31? · Yes0.3600.155$3.10$4.10
Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31? · Yes0.5600.085$1.70$9.50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7600.000$0.00$76.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? · No0.6400.000$0.00$9.84
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No0.0020.000$0.00$192.90
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$179.99
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? · No0.7500.000$0.00$75.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · No0.8550.000$0.00$85.47
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? · No0.1200.000$0.00$18.20
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$33.91
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? · No0.6300.000$0.00$31.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 23:09Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2999999982$100.00
08-28 20:44Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.2$19.06
08-28 20:41Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1978043715$1.00
08-28 20:40Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.17$8.84
08-28 20:39Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.28$140.00
08-28 08:25Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.24$72.00
08-28 08:23Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.76$7.60
08-28 00:24Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1310676514$10.00
08-28 00:24Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.64$32.00
08-27 12:33Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
08-27 12:33Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
08-27 12:33Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.25$300.00
08-27 12:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.32$47.06
08-27 12:31Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.352$45.47
08-27 12:30Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$40.07