0x7e278EDb6d8dEc8Ec28016FDF359A7Ba323168A2-1765640485716
0x7e278edb6d8dec8ec28016fdf359a7ba323168a2
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $123.7k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $11.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$822.28at 0.273Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$821.91at 0.202Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
- +$85.83at 0.732Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$80.45at 0.772Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
- +$78.00at 0.220Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 23:09 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 20:44 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $19.06 |
| 08-28 20:41 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1978043715 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 20:40 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $8.84 |
| 08-28 20:39 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $140.00 |
| 08-28 08:25 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $72.00 |
| 08-28 08:23 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 08-28 00:24 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1310676514 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 00:24 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 08-27 12:33 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 12:33 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 12:33 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $300.00 |
| 08-27 12:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.32 | $47.06 |
| 08-27 12:31 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.352 | $45.47 |
| 08-27 12:30 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $40.07 |