0x7e211ce988F4A07234e190622F20fd557b212238-1749156757817
0x7e211ce988f4a07234e190622f20fd557b212238
- Realised P&L
- $-10.71
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $32.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.09at 0.043US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$115.00at 0.080Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
- +$98.88at 0.084Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$38.19at 0.110Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
- +$35.45at 0.110US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $40.27 |
| 10-17 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0461411301 | $59.73 |
| 10-15 18:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 15:35 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.015 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 16:19 | Will Austria vs. Israel end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 16:19 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 10:06 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 17:55 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? | BUY | 0.495357509 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:45 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0780000013 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0674999866 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:06 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.1974999737 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 22:51 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0439999593 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 21:04 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |