PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Weatherwin

0x7e17daeb734e2c5bc6951779e2525bc8462f9783

Realised P&L
$-88.51
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
663
Open portfolio
$62.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded663
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.2401.000$19.99+$15.19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23? · Yes0.3900.900$9.00+$5.10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 23? · Yes0.3100.415$6.64+$1.68
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? · Yes0.2000.220$5.50+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23? · Yes0.2700.265$4.77$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22? · Yes0.2550.220$4.18$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 23? · Yes0.3400.295$4.13$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 23? · Yes0.1900.135$3.51$1.43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23? · Yes0.2900.165$2.81$2.12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 23? · Yes0.3100.340$1.70+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22? · Yes0.3640.003$0.04$4.69
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22? · Yes0.1080.001$0.02$4.94
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 22? · Yes0.1300.001$0.02$4.53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22? · Yes0.1800.001$0.01$4.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? · Yes0.2100.001$0.01$4.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 14:17Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?BUY0.27$4.86
09-22 12:50Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 23?BUY0.31$1.55
09-22 11:53Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?BUY0.39$3.90
09-22 06:03Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?BUY0.2$5.00
09-22 06:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23?BUY0.29$4.93
09-22 06:02Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 23?BUY0.31$4.96
09-22 06:02Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 23?BUY0.19$4.94
09-22 06:02Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 23?BUY0.34$4.76
09-21 19:56Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 22?BUY0.13$1.30
09-21 19:51Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 22?BUY0.13$1.30
09-21 19:46Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 22?BUY0.13$1.95
09-21 13:49Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.11$1.21
09-21 13:44Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 22?BUY0.11$2.75
09-21 12:58Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.26$2.34
09-21 12:53Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.25$2.50