NoIdea666
0x7e146d621cc67f112decbc17808c9b2ef5e57d13
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $609.7k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.958 | 0.960 | $3.0k | +$3.69 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.864 | 0.989 | $642.85 | +$80.95 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.535 | $76.50 | −$23.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.58at 0.788Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$360.64at 0.840BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
- +$309.75at 0.850BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina
- +$295.65at 0.935Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?
- +$291.28at 0.947ECB rate cut in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:40 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $2.0k |
| 09-20 09:00 | Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.91 | $54.60 |
| 09-18 13:28 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.981 | $500.31 |
| 09-18 13:27 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.981 | $500.31 |
| 09-18 06:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | SELL | 0.89 | $510.09 |
| 09-18 06:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | SELL | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 09-18 06:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | SELL | 0.98 | $166.60 |
| 09-18 06:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | SELL | 0.962 | $387.80 |
| 09-18 06:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | SELL | 0.91 | $62.54 |
| 09-18 04:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | SELL | 0.92 | $622.88 |
| 09-14 20:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 09-14 14:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.799 | $15.98 |
| 09-14 07:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.05 |
| 09-13 14:12 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.0k |
| 09-13 10:13 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.95 | $503.50 |