PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7dcf5a7420561b7c9d50ba89a01878d5abf245e8

0x7dcf5a7420561b7c9d50ba89a01878d5abf245e8

Realised P&L
$-14.45
Volume
$93.97
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$3.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7600.985$2.00+$0.46
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.5900.330$0.78$0.62
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.4200.160$0.76$1.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 11:07Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.5899998399$1.40
08-19 05:49Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.4099999446$2.00
08-13 05:13Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-12 21:04US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-12 12:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-12 04:32Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of August 10 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-12 04:31Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-11 20:30Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-11 12:18Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
07-28 13:43New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-28 01:52Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.5$1.53
07-27 15:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5399999727$1.98
07-27 03:06Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.5399999727$1.98
07-26 15:04Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.43$1.29
07-26 02:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?BUY0.5899999941$2.01