MarioLu
0x7dc45cbeedf6e2330e6b93c6588f16dcfdb7a38d
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $141.3k
- Markets traded
- 568
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded568
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$598.69at 0.096Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
- +$492.31at 0.135Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$396.26at 0.009Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
- +$378.07at 0.055Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$360.91at 0.139Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 09:51 | Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | SELL | 0.9 | $3.60 |
| 06-11 11:50 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.007 | $5.24 |
| 06-08 08:57 | Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.197 | $39.40 |
| 06-08 08:04 | Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.1969999928 | $20.49 |
| 06-08 07:47 | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.0361538462 | $6.11 |
| 06-08 07:31 | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.0290909091 | $1.60 |
| 06-08 04:42 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 06-08 04:42 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 06-07 23:04 | Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.0219540011 | $3.58 |
| 06-07 22:35 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 06-07 22:34 | Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 06-07 21:36 | Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.2294549495 | $1.60 |
| 06-07 21:23 | Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.68 |
| 06-07 21:21 | Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.68 |
| 06-07 21:21 | Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.68 |