AODI10
0x7db610fa37ac14a9e98bf811adc3fff49acf16bb
- Realised P&L
- $-260.11
- Volume
- $49.6k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $123.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.80at 0.137Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$147.30at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
- +$116.87at 0.280Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$99.25at 0.918Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$70.00at 0.900Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 01:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $27.00 |
| 10-16 01:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $90.86 |
| 10-16 01:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.077 | $67.32 |
| 10-16 01:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 10-16 01:03 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $22.05 |
| 10-16 01:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $1.47 |
| 10-16 01:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.96 |
| 10-16 01:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.043 | $9.03 |
| 10-16 01:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-16 01:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $18.00 |
| 10-16 01:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $12.00 |
| 10-16 01:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 09-08 09:20 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $60.80 |
| 08-21 01:38 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.27 | $45.90 |
| 08-20 05:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |