PolyBot

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Traders

Tomson456

0x7d9f9cf303066a0b0acd33c122817770ad83f01b

Realised P&L
$-4.3k
Volume
$47.5k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1750.165$2.8k$172.42
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3360.145$1.5k$2.0k
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.1590.028$34.51$165.49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.2600.055$20.93$77.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 22:54Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1684992574$2.0k
08-04 17:30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1899999999$996.00
05-25 21:04Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.3039020841$997.00
05-13 20:00Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.3544767118$2.0k
04-20 23:18Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.0699999998$298.92
04-19 00:23Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.2063937027$498.20
04-09 19:37Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.3130434133$498.19
04-01 10:21Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.3379694962$498.19
03-21 12:18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.3599999994$298.92
03-18 00:51Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.2599999984$98.92
03-18 00:46Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.1593625498$200.00
03-13 01:40Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2396394773$199.28
02-20 15:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.6199999994$61.64
02-20 15:46Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.5621560062$52.41
02-20 15:18Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.4027504478$4.86