lokko
0x7d9679e3777dd3c9467d692642ba8afa07e33e5d
- Realised P&L
- $-48.30
- Volume
- $122.5k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $32.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.963 | 0.884 | $23.88 | −$2.12 |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.992 | 0.997 | $4.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.925 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No | 0.900 | 0.260 | $1.86 | −$4.58 |
| Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.025 | $0.10 | −$2.90 |
| Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.007 | $0.03 | −$1.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.72at 0.745Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.930Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 20?
- +$3.55at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 25?
- +$3.36at 0.900Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on September 29?
- +$3.02at 0.570Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 13:49 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $25.54 |
| 05-27 05:56 | Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 05-26 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26? | BUY | 0.975 | $15.00 |
| 05-26 12:55 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.2k |
| 05-26 12:53 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.825 | $616.20 |
| 05-26 12:43 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $25.00 |
| 05-26 12:42 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.958 | $1.6k |
| 05-26 12:39 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.936 | $1.1k |
| 05-14 10:17 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9629999987 | $26.00 |
| 05-14 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15? | SELL | 0.97 | $14.79 |
| 05-14 10:16 | Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $6.10 |
| 05-14 10:16 | Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.854 | $2.75 |
| 05-14 10:16 | Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.18 |
| 05-14 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $8.00 |
| 05-14 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.9669999992 | $9.00 |