PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x7d949C425dF72d50BE70BDE1Bc7CA16a57173249-1719512491609

0x7d949c425df72d50be70bde1bc7ca16a57173249

Realised P&L
$-357.74
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$52.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0880.105$23.93+$3.93
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5300.065$12.26$87.74
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2300.040$8.59$41.41
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.4030.080$7.95$32.15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$25.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$100.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.5200.000$0.00$20.00
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · No0.5940.000$0.00$100.00
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$75.00
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28? · No0.6800.000$0.00$50.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 30? · Up0.6300.000$0.00$25.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.4040.000$0.00$20.00
Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes0.5170.000$0.00$50.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February? · No0.6160.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.72$124.14
07-19 20:45Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4044943736$20.00
07-19 20:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.5199999938$20.00
07-18 22:39France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.533999995$20.00
07-18 22:39France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.457$38.24
07-18 22:23France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.238999992$20.00
07-15 21:14Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5799999979$100.00
07-15 21:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4199999977$100.00
07-15 21:13Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?SELL0.1587780088$48.11
07-15 21:13Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.32$71.11
07-15 21:13Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3$110.47
07-11 22:39Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.5168181818$11.37
07-11 20:33Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?BUY0.5939888318$100.00
07-11 20:30Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.449999998$100.00
07-09 20:21France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7974999995$315.00