0x7d949C425dF72d50BE70BDE1Bc7CA16a57173249-1719512491609
0x7d949c425df72d50be70bde1bc7ca16a57173249
- Realised P&L
- $-357.74
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $52.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.56at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$92.92at 0.447Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
- +$78.07at 0.802France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$72.41at 0.580Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$48.89at 0.450Government shutdown on Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.72 | $124.14 |
| 07-19 20:45 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4044943736 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 20:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 22:39 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.533999995 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 22:39 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.457 | $38.24 |
| 07-18 22:23 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.238999992 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 21:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 21:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 21:13 | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | SELL | 0.1587780088 | $48.11 |
| 07-15 21:13 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.32 | $71.11 |
| 07-15 21:13 | Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3 | $110.47 |
| 07-11 22:39 | Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.5168181818 | $11.37 |
| 07-11 20:33 | Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.5939888318 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 20:30 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.449999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 20:21 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7974999995 | $315.00 |