vincentgomez
0x7d8d2ea64fc0b472c77091694ee92699057d45e6
- Realised P&L
- $1.94
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $131.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.953 | 0.975 | $110.48 | +$2.49 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September? · No | 0.998 | 0.965 | $21.47 | −$0.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.60at 0.964Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$1.22at 0.620Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
- +$0.69at 0.984Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
- +$0.68at 0.750Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
- +$0.68at 0.982Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 14:15 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September? | BUY | 0.9977304643 | $22.21 |
| 08-14 11:47 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $22.16 |
| 07-15 10:08 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9529999967 | $107.99 |
| 05-11 18:13 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9629999955 | $124.61 |
| 04-20 14:10 | Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? | BUY | 0.7599999357 | $1.89 |
| 04-20 13:29 | Will Solana dip to $20 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.08 |
| 04-16 09:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $77.56 |
| 04-09 14:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $77.88 |
| 04-09 12:31 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30? | BUY | 0.8799999704 | $2.38 |
| 04-02 20:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.96 |
| 04-02 17:40 | Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999962 | $2.21 |
| 04-02 16:31 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.05 |
| 04-02 15:19 | Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399998231 | $1.16 |
| 04-02 14:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.9829999997 | $41.64 |
| 03-30 10:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.13 |