PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7d8821cdfddb202b352649ab0eb339660e42eab3

Realised P&L
$-49.16
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$97.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Downs have 974.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6400.570$11.40$1.40
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? · No0.7700.765$10.71$0.07
Will Domingos Sávio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · No0.6480.532$10.64$2.32
Will Eric Oncins qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.6900.520$10.40$3.40
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? · No0.5800.450$9.00$2.60
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No0.5300.370$7.40$3.20
Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.4900.240$7.20$7.50
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines? · No0.8000.595$5.77$1.99
Will Javonte Williams have 749.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5000.275$5.48$4.48
Will Chloe Igleski advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.4500.255$5.10$3.90
Will Mari Humberg / Judit Castillo advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.3800.220$4.40$3.20
Will The Debut win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7270.678$4.00$0.29
Will Chao Yi Wang advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.3200.165$3.30$3.10
Will Cameron Skattebo have 424.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5200.105$2.10$8.30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0140.011$0.92$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.042$1.47
09-16 12:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.042$1.89
09-16 11:55Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.13$3.51
09-16 11:46Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.13$3.77
09-16 11:43Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.008$4.20
09-16 11:42Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.11$5.94
09-16 11:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.044$3.52
09-16 11:32US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$6.20
09-16 11:23Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.007$2.66
09-16 11:20Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.01$5.25
09-16 10:55US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$6.82
09-16 10:55Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.004$0.96
09-16 10:52Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.004$1.00
09-16 10:52Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$6.48
09-16 10:47Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$1.17