0x7d8821cdfddb202b352649ab0eb339660e42eab3
- Realised P&L
- $-49.16
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $97.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.490Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.590Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.510Will Lindsey Graham rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.610Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.610Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 35%-40%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.47 |
| 09-16 12:10 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.89 |
| 09-16 11:55 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.51 |
| 09-16 11:46 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.77 |
| 09-16 11:43 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.008 | $4.20 |
| 09-16 11:42 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.94 |
| 09-16 11:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.044 | $3.52 |
| 09-16 11:32 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.20 |
| 09-16 11:23 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.66 |
| 09-16 11:20 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.25 |
| 09-16 10:55 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.82 |
| 09-16 10:55 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.96 |
| 09-16 10:52 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 10:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.48 |
| 09-16 10:47 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.17 |