PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7d5d15335ec60449995971a563fd94e060f091d8

0x7d5d15335ec60449995971a563fd94e060f091d8

Realised P&L
$75.8k
Volume
$6.96M
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$81.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9450.965$81.0k+$1.7k
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner · LYON0.6900.695$347.50+$2.50
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs · LYON0.7900.825$19.64+$0.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports0.7200.000$0.00−$295.43
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) · Dan Hooker0.2100.000$0.00−$60.97
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner · Natus Vincere0.3750.000$0.00−$94.94
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports0.6440.000$0.00−$231.80
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · LYON0.2950.000$0.00−$57.30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner · Top Esports0.5090.000$0.00−$255.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 05:50LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.69$345.00
09-25 21:59LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsSELL0.7$242.00
09-25 19:18LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsBUY0.79$395.00
09-25 19:17Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.963$962.96
09-05 20:00UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.21$60.97
08-28 04:41Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.961$4.80
08-27 04:22Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.96$19.20
08-24 06:24Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.99$16.34
08-24 06:23Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.991$175.41
08-24 06:22Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.991$386.49
08-24 06:22Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.991$535.14
08-24 06:22Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.991$588.65
08-24 06:21Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.99$637.56
08-24 06:21Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.962$7.6k
08-20 19:55Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.962$43.29