0x7d19e6e1f297a31c11446ee581a90b26bde67914
0x7d19e6e1f297a31c11446ee581a90b26bde67914
- Realised P&L
- $-2.56
- Volume
- $41.34
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $3.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.328 | $2.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.515 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.155 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.195 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.23at 0.457Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$0.78at 0.573Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
- +$0.36at 0.737Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$0.18at 0.848Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$0.04at 0.962Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 19:51 | Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:40 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:40 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:40 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:40 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:39 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:29 | Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:07 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:38 | Solana Up or Down - September 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 23:38 | Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1309999963 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 23:18 | Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 23:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 23:16 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |