PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FANTOMAS.

0x7d17982260fa743d9d32f720eea1c9d5898e9df1

Realised P&L
$10.0k
Volume
$768.9k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$17.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 01:15Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.2198223385$195.00
10-31 01:14Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.195299$195.30
10-31 01:05Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.2099999996$100.00
10-31 01:04Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.1989646411$588.00
10-31 01:03Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.196$588.00
10-30 23:36Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.198$295.00
10-30 23:34Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.1979999997$85.00
10-30 22:33Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.183$183.00
10-30 22:31Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.17921066$268.82
10-30 21:41Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.1819999999$215.00
10-30 21:39Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.172$137.60
10-30 21:38Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.1819181367$200.00
10-30 21:37Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-29 16:20France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?SELL0.07$5.00
10-29 16:20Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.039$19.50