HGGFHFD
0x7d117375fe7ec26e3351028c834e1c99eb8d0464
- Realised P&L
- $85.28
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $217.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.997 | $200.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September? · No | 0.992 | 0.984 | $6.94 | −$0.06 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $5.00 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.41at 0.629Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$35.47at 0.530Will Barcelona win La Liga?
- +$30.24at 0.610Red Wings vs. Flyers
- +$18.25at 0.510Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
- +$9.82at 0.981Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 13:22 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 13:22 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 09:11 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 09:10 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $200.00 |
| 08-20 07:37 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 08-12 13:34 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 08-12 13:33 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $174.00 |
| 07-20 09:03 | Will Solana reach $150 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $183.00 |
| 07-10 10:56 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 07-10 10:55 | Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? | BUY | 0.9939999994 | $7.00 |
| 07-10 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or below on July 11? | BUY | 0.9989999964 | $216.00 |
| 06-27 12:14 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 06-05 18:55 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.00 |
| 06-05 18:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $703.00 |
| 05-22 11:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9949998762 | $8.00 |