0x7d03b775104fc6fa866efa0db26dbf20a103cc07
0x7d03b775104fc6fa866efa0db26dbf20a103cc07
- Realised P&L
- $-1.03
- Volume
- $22.24
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $8.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.635 | $2.27 | +$1.27 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.510 | $2.04 | +$1.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.835 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.830 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.750 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.295 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.03at 0.492Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:42 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:03 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 13:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 00:08 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 15:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 23:09 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 00:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |