0x7cdD1194ffA82F2aba2b4d2Cc63F74F66B884FB7-1772056525470
0x7cdd1194ffa82f2aba2b4d2cc63f74f66b884fb7
- Realised P&L
- $-464.52
- Volume
- $103.5k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $150.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.85at 0.142Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.25at 0.303Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$23.38at 0.282Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$15.60at 0.014Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.28at 0.492Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 08:33 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 08:31 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 08:30 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1389999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 01:37 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.40 |
| 08-17 01:25 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 01:24 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0059999988 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 07:22 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0469999914 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 07:19 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1299999859 | $7.00 |
| 08-11 07:11 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 07:05 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.030999998 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 07:04 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 07:03 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 07:03 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0059999997 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 06:56 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0119999994 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 06:55 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011999994 | $2.00 |