PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7cdD1194ffA82F2aba2b4d2Cc63F74F66B884FB7-1772056525470

0x7cdd1194ffa82f2aba2b4d2cc63f74f66b884fb7

Realised P&L
$-458.74
Volume
$109.4k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$148.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1100.180$65.45+$25.45
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0300.039$25.60+$5.60
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.009$16.16−$0.84
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.003$10.83−$17.16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1390.155$5.58+$0.58
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.005$5.32−$4.68
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$5.00−$15.00
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0900.065$3.61−$1.39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.055$2.96−$4.04
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0470.021$2.18−$2.82
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0510.051$2.00+$0.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0720.056$1.54−$0.46
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0310.015$0.97−$1.03
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3800.345$0.91−$0.09
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.001$0.39−$3.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 07:14Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1099999999$40.00
09-23 07:11Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.003$3.00
09-23 07:11Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0049825114$2.00
09-23 07:11Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0099634673$3.00
09-23 07:07Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.017$20.57
09-23 07:07Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.02404$30.05
09-23 07:06Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.012$34.94
09-12 08:33Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-12 08:31Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-12 08:30Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1389999962$5.00
08-22 01:37Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.999$10.40
08-17 01:25Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.01$5.00
08-17 01:24Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0059999988$5.00
08-11 07:22Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0469999914$5.00
08-11 07:19Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1299999859$7.00