PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

banan

0x7cbca6904291affd3c6bfa157d5edbc900dc5196

Realised P&L
$-12.6k
Volume
$706.8k
Markets traded
1,066
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,066
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2920.110$841.46$1.4k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5000.555$111.00+$11.00
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1390.105$90.34$29.06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3810.541$53.98+$15.98
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · Yes0.1470.296$40.22+$20.22
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0940.086$34.65$3.35
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.6970.945$27.10+$7.10
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.2700.620$22.96+$12.96
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? · No0.6750.690$20.44+$0.44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.046$17.69$32.31
Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.1400.176$17.65+$3.65
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.4780.765$16.02+$6.02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4840.475$14.90$0.29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$13.50$16.50
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · No0.6290.346$11.02$8.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 16:42Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.2348428504$250.00
09-06 16:41Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.2$114.61
09-06 16:41Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.1976306067$200.00
08-18 00:21Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0096458874$119.55
08-18 00:21Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.0910117941$91.06
08-18 00:21Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.0766475186$42.16
08-18 00:20Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.0085981838$88.21
07-31 07:55Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.39$36.69
07-31 07:54Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.06$54.59
07-06 02:03Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3099999991$195.36
07-06 02:02Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3099999944$24.00
07-05 22:49Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 England?BUY0.0280814467$3.00
07-05 22:48Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 England?BUY0.069999992$8.00
07-05 22:48Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?BUY0.08$9.00
07-05 22:48Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$300.00