liaoti
0x7ca37ec74544126106dca99dfc1ee652d2354ccd
- Realised P&L
- $-270.29
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $126.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.906 | 0.971 | $101.42 | +$6.74 |
| Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 1? · Up | 0.538 | 0.450 | $25.05 | −$4.89 |
| Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.12at 0.002Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $620 Week of June 29 2026?
- +$15.67at 0.390Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$12.77at 0.440Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$5.42at 0.650Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$5.00at 0.560Getafe CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:39 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.44 |
| 09-30 20:57 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 09-11 21:21 | Real Racing Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $10.40 |
| 08-22 15:59 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.07 |
| 07-01 05:04 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 Week of June 29 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.23 |
| 07-01 05:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of June 29 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 07-01 02:54 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 Week of June 29 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 06-26 19:16 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of June 22 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 06-26 19:15 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of June 22 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 06-26 19:15 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of June 22 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 06-26 19:15 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of June 22 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 06-26 10:08 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of June 22 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 06-05 03:55 | Will Luigi Petrone win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.04 |
| 06-05 03:55 | Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 06-05 03:54 | Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.00 |