artofinvesting
0x7c9dd9dee7d03901d4aad124fee7d225ad54ada7
- Realised P&L
- $-628.13
- Volume
- $443.8k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $337.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.16at 0.253Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
- +$30.71at 0.049Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$12.23at 0.139Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
- +$4.04at 0.110MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.007Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 23:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $35.98 |
| 05-16 22:24 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.123 | $1.23 |
| 05-16 22:24 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.123 | $1.23 |
| 05-16 22:23 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.122 | $1.22 |
| 05-16 21:43 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.225 | $6.75 |
| 05-16 21:16 | Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 21:09 | Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 20:47 | EU dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.036 | $10.80 |
| 05-16 20:25 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 05-16 20:20 | Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 20:05 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.294 | $29.40 |
| 05-14 22:18 | EU dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.43 |
| 05-14 22:17 | EU dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.50 |
| 05-14 22:13 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.173 | $69.20 |
| 05-14 22:12 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $36.11 |