PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

artofinvesting

0x7c9dd9dee7d03901d4aad124fee7d225ad54ada7

Realised P&L
$-628.13
Volume
$443.8k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$337.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1870.071$86.61$141.96
EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0470.015$58.51$131.19
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1560.043$47.69$123.20
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1570.055$34.38$63.60
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.059$29.50$100.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$21.99$13.99
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Something0.0780.029$19.08$31.36
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1400.048$14.25$27.75
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? · Yes0.1070.070$6.66$3.49
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$5.50$6.50
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No0.1200.024$4.70$19.30
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.2700.075$4.53$11.78
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes0.1350.130$3.79$0.16
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · Yes0.0420.011$0.38$1.08
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$9.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 23:23Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$35.98
05-16 22:24Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.123$1.23
05-16 22:24Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.123$1.23
05-16 22:23Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.122$1.22
05-16 21:43Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.225$6.75
05-16 21:16Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.001$10.00
05-16 21:09Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.005$5.00
05-16 20:47EU dissolves before 2027?BUY0.036$10.80
05-16 20:25Will France win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.007$7.00
05-16 20:20Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.001$10.00
05-16 20:05Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.294$29.40
05-14 22:18EU dissolves before 2027?BUY0.035$0.43
05-14 22:17EU dissolves before 2027?BUY0.035$3.50
05-14 22:13Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.173$69.20
05-14 22:12Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.16$36.11