Dolgil25
0x7c95c3c16e9aee742273f56efc15a7c51ea64d3b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.46
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $178.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.62at 0.129US bank failure by January 31?
- +$50.27at 0.196Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$23.37at 0.141Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$18.33at 0.450Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$18.22at 0.354S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:52 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 10-04 13:06 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.049 | $1.47 |
| 10-02 08:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 09-30 06:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $16.00 |
| 09-21 09:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2999999954 | $13.00 |
| 09-20 07:21 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 07:21 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.1141932712 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 20:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 07-18 19:05 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4049999763 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 18:16 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.50 |
| 07-01 12:43 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 19:01 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 19:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2279999748 | $6.00 |
| 06-12 13:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 06-10 17:10 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |