jaja5050
0x7c873c11e40ceaaba6385322d49f565b66659bd4
- Realised P&L
- $42.1k
- Volume
- $6.93M
- Markets traded
- 336
- Open portfolio
- $32.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded336
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.2kat 0.563No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
- +$16.2kat 0.904US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$14.9kat 0.425Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$11.3kat 0.340Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$11.0kat 0.150Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:44 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.7k |
| 07-15 21:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.1k |
| 07-10 23:28 | Kash Patel out by July 31? | BUY | 0.0820234876 | $49.80 |
| 07-07 23:59 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.583227672 | $7.3k |
| 06-16 11:37 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.24 | $41.77 |
| 06-05 15:36 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.011 | $119.27 |
| 06-04 18:15 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY | 0.042 | $55.79 |
| 05-28 20:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $801.24 |
| 05-25 01:11 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.29 | $232.00 |
| 05-19 21:25 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.3k |
| 03-12 09:37 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.2499875236 | $7.5k |
| 03-01 01:47 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $890.52 |
| 02-13 06:03 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.4k |
| 02-13 05:47 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.7 | $5.1k |
| 02-13 05:19 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5601849735 | $1.6k |