jaja5050
0x7c873c11e40ceaaba6385322d49f565b66659bd4
- Realised P&L
- $48.8k
- Volume
- $7.05M
- Markets traded
- 342
- Open portfolio
- $33.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded342
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.2kat 0.563No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
- +$16.2kat 0.904US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$14.9kat 0.425Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
- +$11.3kat 0.340Thunder vs. Pacers
- +$11.0kat 0.150Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 16:25 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $229.74 |
| 09-10 16:19 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $790.85 |
| 09-10 12:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.3k |
| 09-10 11:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.5k |
| 09-06 01:27 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 09-06 01:25 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.983 | $4.92 |
| 08-19 18:08 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027? | BUY | 0.0520766419 | $36.05 |
| 08-01 20:44 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.7k |
| 07-15 21:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.1k |
| 07-10 23:28 | Kash Patel out by July 31? | BUY | 0.0820234876 | $49.80 |
| 07-07 23:59 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.583227672 | $7.3k |
| 06-16 11:37 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.24 | $41.77 |
| 06-05 15:36 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.011 | $119.27 |
| 06-04 18:15 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | BUY | 0.042 | $55.79 |
| 05-28 20:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $801.24 |