PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pollopollu

0x7c833fe781ef10059ca66f377df07352e45bd800

Realised P&L
$37.37
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$56.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 09:25Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.943$0.05
09-20 20:25Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$0.01
09-20 16:20Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.86$0.01
09-20 13:52Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.83$0.01
09-19 09:00Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.95$0.35
09-17 19:35Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.92$0.02
09-17 07:24Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.92$0.06
09-16 08:36Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.9$0.01
09-15 19:28Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.89$0.07
09-15 11:58Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$0.01
09-12 21:41Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.95$0.38
09-11 13:34Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.002$0.05
09-09 06:01Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$0.01
09-08 21:29Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.94$0.23
09-08 06:24Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.0081371076$0.61