0x7c808D71d21F89546C93dF8f42CB58D84140027D-1772428384018
0x7c808d71d21f89546c93df8f42cb58d84140027d
- Realised P&L
- $20.99
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,265
- Open portfolio
- $4.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,265
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.640 | 0.795 | $3.82 | +$0.75 |
| Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.609 | 0.116 | $0.95 | −$4.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.47at 0.300Counter-Strike: 33 vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
- +$8.66at 0.366Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
- +$8.15at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 11?
- +$6.00at 0.220LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner
- +$5.47at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25 12:19 | Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $4.60 |
| 04-08 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.86 |
| 04-08 14:52 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $8.52 |
| 04-08 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.25 |
| 04-08 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.25 |
| 04-08 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 8? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 03-28 22:33 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 03-15 00:47 | Will Team Spirit win PGL Wallachia Season 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.18 |
| 03-10 18:36 | LoL: NightBirds vs Los Heretics - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 03-10 10:07 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 10? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.95 |
| 03-07 13:26 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $3.67 |
| 03-04 17:48 | LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.22 | $1.69 |
| 03-04 14:52 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 4? | BUY | 0.6698393352 | $4.84 |