Keker080L
0x7c70d36993bcf27c9c7217322fdca9b61a66f5e1
- Realised P&L
- $443.17
- Volume
- $38.0k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $73.74
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.212 | $36.17 | −$4.56 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.125 | $21.25 | −$9.35 |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.075 | $12.58 | −$5.87 |
| Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.022 | $3.74 | −$6.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$475.71at 0.049Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$123.12at 0.088Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
- +$80.26at 0.759Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
- +$70.42at 0.209Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$60.60at 0.620Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:36 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.2462900929 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 06:35 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.2323309693 | $12.78 |
| 09-17 06:22 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.209 | $1.95 |
| 09-17 06:21 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.18 | $30.60 |
| 09-17 06:19 | Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.11 | $18.46 |
| 09-17 06:19 | Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.058 | $9.86 |
| 09-15 12:39 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-15 12:39 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-15 12:31 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 09-15 10:25 | Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.057 | $3.71 |
| 09-15 02:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0627932961 | $6.63 |
| 09-14 20:07 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.80 |
| 09-14 20:07 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.4 | $42.80 |
| 09-14 20:07 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.39 | $13.14 |
| 09-14 20:06 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.06 |