KZzzsj
0x7c3fee15775528a5e74496fcfb5cbb8b0223ff8d
- Realised P&L
- $-418.57
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 365
- Open portfolio
- $24.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded365
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? · No | 0.784 | 0.469 | $14.05 | −$9.46 |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.530 | 0.345 | $10.35 | −$5.55 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.135 | $0.41 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.50at 0.130Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$22.55at 0.124Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?
- +$22.03at 0.105Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
- +$18.38at 0.250Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$17.77at 0.100Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:33 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | BUY | 0.82 | $24.60 |
| 09-28 12:57 | Will Indiana make College Football Playoff Semifinals? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.19 |
| 09-28 12:55 | Will Indiana make College Football Playoff Semifinals? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.43 |
| 09-28 12:46 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.52 |
| 09-28 12:45 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $17.80 |
| 09-28 12:07 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.2063333333 | $6.19 |
| 09-28 11:39 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0062 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 09-28 11:11 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | BUY | 0.6099999913 | $4.90 |
| 09-28 11:11 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? | BUY | 0.6099999854 | $13.40 |
| 09-28 08:50 | Will Democrats win exactly 20 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6899999489 | $3.51 |
| 09-28 08:16 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.24 |
| 09-28 07:28 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.50 |
| 09-28 06:06 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.3099999685 | $1.77 |
| 09-28 06:06 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.3099999605 | $2.04 |
| 09-28 04:31 | Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.8066423502 | $24.00 |