0x7C3Ec916056D63fe408a043A1835695081574C13-1764338451976
0x7c3ec916056d63fe408a043a1835695081574c13
- Realised P&L
- $29.58
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $8.04
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.410 | $2.05 | +$0.30 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.265 | $1.32 | +$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.255 | $1.27 | −$0.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.595 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.415 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.175 | $0.88 | −$0.28 |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.056 | $0.66 | −$0.17 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.18 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Hornets vs. Cavaliers · Hornets | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.92at 0.051Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?
- +$18.70at 0.065Will Solana reach $110 in August?
- +$16.85at 0.064Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
- +$10.85at 0.096Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?
- +$7.85at 0.127Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 03:30 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-03 03:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-02 07:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-02 07:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-02 07:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 15:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-10 08:38 | Will Solana reach $130 in September? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 09-10 08:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 15:12 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 15:12 | Will Solana reach $110 in September? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 15:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 15:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 10:55 | Will Solana reach $100 in August? | BUY | 0.233 | $1.17 |
| 08-20 10:55 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | BUY | 0.061 | $1.22 |