Metodex
0x7bfee1d157e2995eef20f8379ec6c02d677caa01
- Realised P&L
- $-139.21
- Volume
- $258.8k
- Markets traded
- 218
- Open portfolio
- $121.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded218
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.225 | $99.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $22.75 | −$68.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Down | 0.673 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$710.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.433LayerZero airdrop in 2023?
- +$919.27at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$889.84at 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$774.95at 0.389Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$683.18at 0.364Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:47 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2244659824 | $99.00 |
| 08-06 16:46 | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $62.00 |
| 08-06 16:17 | Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $29.00 |
| 03-17 09:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.118602906 | $29.71 |
| 03-17 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8315528896 | $1.1k |
| 03-17 08:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6208351072 | $662.18 |
| 03-16 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 17? | BUY | 0.35 | $8.75 |
| 03-14 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $6.82 |
| 03-14 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.84 |
| 03-14 19:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9843430846 | $1.2k |
| 03-14 19:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $0.97 |
| 03-13 11:42 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.62958 | $62.96 |
| 03-09 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 9? | SELL | 0.02 | $7.33 |
| 03-09 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.34 |
| 03-09 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9? | BUY | 0.37 | $22.04 |