saaramara
0x7bfd2386c04ad77e21e5f2c3ee5bcfdb0aca01a2
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $124.1k
- Markets traded
- 232
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded232
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.105 | $3.0k | +$980.08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.935 | $124.67 | +$24.67 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.240 | $26.67 | +$6.67 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · South America Rejects | 0.356 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.32 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Team Liquid | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.17 |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Aurora | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.62 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down | 0.462 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.740UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$114.73at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$87.15at 0.379Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$82.01at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$81.69at 0.710Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 10:00 | Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.5127408241 | $30.00 |
| 05-07 08:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 08:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 20:56 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | BUY | 0.48 | $30.00 |
| 04-26 13:14 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.2799999916 | $19.14 |
| 04-25 10:44 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $18.96 |
| 04-25 09:51 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $19.15 |
| 04-24 18:52 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.809999997 | $39.54 |
| 04-24 18:31 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $19.59 |
| 04-24 17:41 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999971 | $28.97 |
| 04-24 17:00 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | SELL | 0.0544533514 | $4.81 |
| 04-24 16:11 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.221153839 | $19.07 |
| 04-24 10:30 | Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $82.27 |
| 04-24 10:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.379999962 | $2.73 |