PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kisher

0x7be42b643002a97434f4666ea145784bc7798477

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$3.30M
Markets traded
1,837
Open portfolio
$440.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,837
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.735$220.49$1.50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.265$79.50+$4.50
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · No0.8700.895$53.29+$1.49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? · Yes0.3600.360$36.00+$0.00
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.1200.105$15.75$2.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? · Yes0.6500.655$13.10+$0.10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? · Yes0.5800.610$11.59+$0.57
Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0070.006$10.33$0.79
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.013$0.16+$0.01
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.005$0.08+$0.02
Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00$0.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00$1.12
Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Down0.6800.000$0.00$6.80
Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 08:57Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.042$9.94
09-11 13:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.026$18.72
09-11 09:22Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$0.33
09-08 10:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.32$3.30
09-08 09:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.1299999942$1.12
09-08 09:22BNB Up or Down - September 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.17$1.53
09-08 09:21Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.2099999799$1.15
09-08 09:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.31$2.48
09-08 09:19Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.05$0.90
09-08 08:56BNB Up or Down - September 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.31$2.48
09-08 08:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.22$2.64
09-07 14:50Will Plasma reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0088$0.11
09-07 14:50Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.015$0.04
09-07 14:49Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.082$1.81
09-07 09:02Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?SELL0.0666219178$137.71