PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kisher

0x7be42b643002a97434f4666ea145784bc7798477

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$3.06M
Markets traded
666
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded666
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1300.125$286.22$12.15
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1000.075$142.05$46.79
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · No0.3890.630$126.00+$48.17
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2100.200$114.91$5.74
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8900.895$96.18+$0.54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0600.055$71.50$6.50
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0060.005$51.95$4.72
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1300.115$43.45$5.67
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.3630.180$36.10$36.60
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0530.053$31.87+$0.30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0700.065$27.74$2.13
Will BP be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1180.030$21.59$61.67
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? · No0.1300.085$17.66$9.35
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1400.215$15.51+$5.41
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? · Yes0.2200.215$9.11$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:19Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.1$5.01
08-02 20:58Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?SELL0.023399529$0.30
08-02 20:58Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.22$5.60
08-02 16:34Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.8$12.00
08-02 12:55Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.011$4.31
08-02 11:25Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.063$1.00
08-01 18:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.61$122.00
08-01 14:40Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.008$1.60
08-01 11:18Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7$44.47
08-01 11:12Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?SELL0.11$10.15
08-01 10:06Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.006$60.64
08-01 10:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.64$128.00
07-31 13:57Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.23$115.00
07-30 17:05Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.25$200.00
07-30 16:56Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub MensikSELL0.46$3.22