baojuhua
0x7bc789785a12050130674aeddc8cbf347e363976
- Realised P&L
- $27.3k
- Volume
- $4.98M
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $125.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.7kat 0.753Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?
- +$40.2kat 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?
- +$2.4kat 0.922Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?
- +$1.7kat 0.821Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
- +$1.5kat 0.931Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 12:36 | Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $65.06 |
| 09-05 02:20 | Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $68.94 |
| 09-04 14:21 | Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 09-03 07:20 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $2.0k |
| 08-30 00:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.986 | $493.00 |
| 08-25 02:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | BUY | 0.912 | $27.36 |
| 08-07 13:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? | SELL | 0.941 | $94.10 |
| 08-05 13:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.988 | $484.11 |
| 08-02 13:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.941 | $169.34 |
| 08-02 13:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.941 | $376.40 |
| 08-02 13:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.941 | $655.91 |
| 08-02 13:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.989 | $395.60 |
| 08-02 08:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.981 | $582.71 |
| 08-02 00:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.79 | $395.00 |
| 07-24 17:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.974 | $36.95 |