0x7baFcbc9247f98f19d2b5432ad654122bF451eDa-1778930962888
0x7bafcbc9247f98f19d2b5432ad654122bf451eda
- Realised P&L
- $4.41
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $406.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · No | 0.898 | 0.950 | $285.00 | +$15.53 |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · No | 0.870 | 0.915 | $64.05 | +$3.15 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.290 | $43.50 | −$16.50 |
| Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.013 | $14.26 | +$0.57 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.97at 0.590Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$4.60at 0.770US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
- +$-6.50at 0.350Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 16:20 | Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.89 |
| 06-29 13:36 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $3.41 |
| 06-23 08:40 | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.8982212 | $269.47 |
| 06-14 03:55 | Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 06-08 07:02 | Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 05-27 12:35 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.59 | $10.03 |