PolyBot

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Traders

0x7baFcbc9247f98f19d2b5432ad654122bF451eDa-1778930962888

0x7bafcbc9247f98f19d2b5432ad654122bf451eda

Realised P&L
$114.19
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · No0.9940.995$314.26+$0.16
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8980.959$287.55+$18.08
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.8960.947$203.90+$10.97
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.8910.902$169.67+$2.16
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · No0.8560.845$169.00$2.30
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? · No0.8760.865$145.61$1.92
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6800.715$112.97+$5.53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8690.835$96.03$3.92
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.9290.954$95.40+$2.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.935$84.15$0.45
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · No0.8700.973$68.07+$7.17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.820$68.06+$5.81
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? · No0.9120.921$64.46+$0.63
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · Yes0.9020.951$47.52+$2.42
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.4900.665$46.55+$12.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:05Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$84.60
09-17 15:56Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.902$45.09
09-14 21:38Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?BUY0.89$26.70
09-14 21:38Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?BUY0.88$88.01
09-14 21:38Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?BUY0.87$8.69
09-14 21:37Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?BUY0.86$4.30
09-14 21:37Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?BUY0.85$19.83
09-14 07:54Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?BUY0.994$314.10
09-05 09:52US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?BUY0.87$95.70
09-04 20:54Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$164.00
09-04 20:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.18$72.00
09-04 17:35Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.89$67.59
09-02 09:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.39$58.50
09-01 05:54Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.953$31.45
08-30 19:38China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.68$107.44