-PoliTrader-
0x7bad2d14f8dc3ecd718a945fb5347c9d084d0be2
- Realised P&L
- $-135.18
- Volume
- $53.5k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $4.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.17at 0.370US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$66.09at 0.960Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
- +$40.41at 0.110Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$27.22at 0.006Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$22.13at 0.129Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 23:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1589999831 | $6.93 |
| 07-07 23:08 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.185 | $6.28 |
| 06-14 21:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | SELL | 0.0186564 | $0.93 |
| 06-08 09:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999767 | $5.50 |
| 06-08 09:56 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 06-08 09:56 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31? | BUY | 0.0184609221 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 09:55 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | BUY | 0.1333333333 | $2.00 |
| 06-08 09:53 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 13:59 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0269999866 | $1.93 |
| 05-31 13:58 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 13:51 | Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.0429999606 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 13:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0219999879 | $1.81 |
| 05-31 13:48 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0292303645 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 13:47 | Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 13:47 | Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |