PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

-PoliTrader-

0x7bad2d14f8dc3ecd718a945fb5347c9d084d0be2

Realised P&L
$-135.18
Volume
$53.5k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$4.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · Yes0.0600.036$1.82$1.18
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$1.67$1.16
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0090.005$0.61$0.39
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$2.00
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.0810.000$0.00$5.00
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$1.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$16.93
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$1.00
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$1.93
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$1.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.81
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 23:10Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1589999831$6.93
07-07 23:08Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.185$6.28
06-14 21:45Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.0186564$0.93
06-08 09:59Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1619999767$5.50
06-08 09:56Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?BUY0.06$3.00
06-08 09:56Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?BUY0.0184609221$1.00
06-08 09:55Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?BUY0.1333333333$2.00
06-08 09:53Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
05-31 13:59Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0269999866$1.93
05-31 13:58Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
05-31 13:51Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
05-31 13:48Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0219999879$1.81
05-31 13:48Will no listed leader be out before 2027?BUY0.0292303645$1.00
05-31 13:47Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.002999997$1.00
05-31 13:47Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.002$1.00