PolyBot

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Traders

The-one-26876

0x7b86c66fd22d886ee9ec718460cf8f64b34d3a4b

Realised P&L
$219.45
Volume
$20.3k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$43.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0890.065$8.72$3.28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0610.038$6.35$3.65
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.4800.265$5.52$4.48
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes0.0500.050$4.95$0.05
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.0900.055$3.06$1.94
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0610.052$2.59$0.41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0100.004$2.25$2.75
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0080.006$2.25$0.75
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0440.018$2.02$2.98
Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3300.200$1.82$1.18
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0340.004$1.04$8.96
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0810.042$1.02$0.98
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.0900.045$1.00$1.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No0.1900.055$0.87$2.13
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · Yes0.1130.026$0.47$1.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 03:58Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.05$5.00
09-20 03:58Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?BUY0.329999967$3.00
09-20 03:52Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0607892635$3.00
09-20 03:51Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0809999968$2.00
09-20 03:50Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.069999999$2.00
09-20 03:49Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-20 03:49Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.008$3.00
09-20 03:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.0899999969$2.00
09-20 03:43US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.1899999962$3.00
09-20 03:41Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.1129999939$2.00
09-20 03:30Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0444664029$5.00
09-12 03:59Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0238983002$1.64
09-12 03:54Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0379999998$5.00
09-12 03:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.01$5.00
08-02 05:19Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.4799999827$10.00