0x7b82CeBa10EB8F06a314A8d84bf6813957198d9F-1767456815278
0x7b82ceba10eb8f06a314a8d84bf6813957198d9f
- Realised P&L
- $-147.36
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 355
- Open portfolio
- $894.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded355
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.21at 0.138US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$1.39at 0.984Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
- +$1.37at 0.985Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$1.34at 0.981Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
- +$1.30at 0.984Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 02:05 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.971 | $6.91 |
| 09-24 02:00 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.974 | $7.51 |
| 09-23 18:07 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.985 | $8.17 |
| 09-22 22:32 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.983 | $8.88 |
| 09-20 05:31 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $6.00 |
| 09-20 01:03 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $6.52 |
| 09-19 16:22 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.975 | $7.09 |
| 09-19 06:15 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.63 |
| 09-19 02:59 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.985 | $8.37 |
| 09-18 19:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.01 |
| 09-18 13:09 | Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.971 | $9.88 |
| 09-18 01:37 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.974 | $10.74 |
| 09-17 17:54 | Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.97 | $11.56 |
| 09-17 16:33 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.985 | $12.68 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison? | BUY | 0.981 | $9.81 |