0x7b82CeBa10EB8F06a314A8d84bf6813957198d9F-1767456815278
0x7b82ceba10eb8f06a314a8d84bf6813957198d9f
- Realised P&L
- $-152.14
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 259
- Open portfolio
- $986.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded259
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.21at 0.138US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$1.43at 0.984Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
- +$1.31at 0.982Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
- +$1.17at 0.985Will Dan Goldman be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
- +$1.16at 0.928Will Garett Bolles win the NFL Protector of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:54 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 23:49 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.984 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 23:17 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 15:06 | Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 12:09 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.981 | $5.35 |
| 08-03 08:55 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.29 |
| 08-03 05:49 | Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | BUY | 0.982 | $7.40 |
| 08-02 12:36 | Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.99 |
| 08-02 11:44 | Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.99 |
| 08-02 11:41 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.982 | $4.99 |
| 07-30 17:20 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 07-30 03:31 | Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.99 |
| 07-29 15:49 | Will Brian Shortsleeve win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.99 |
| 07-29 12:42 | Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.99 |
| 07-27 07:59 | Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.982 | $4.99 |