GioYoGentle
0x7b5c4065289ea68776abc3c75a30a52953e825c3
- Realised P&L
- $440.46
- Volume
- $28.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $221.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.254 | $90.30 | +$60.30 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.735 | $70.00 | +$10.00 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.035 | $60.88 | −$239.12 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.02at 0.553Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
- +$293.39at 0.671Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
- +$123.78at 0.796US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$24.69at 0.802US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$19.95at 0.686Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 23:26 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.078 | $24.38 |
| 05-07 17:25 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.096 | $30.00 |
| 04-13 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999698 | $5.37 |
| 04-13 11:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | BUY | 0.5099999996 | $124.90 |
| 04-13 09:53 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999977 | $60.00 |
| 04-13 08:59 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0843887991 | $30.00 |
| 04-13 08:47 | Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | BUY | 0.800286414 | $299.63 |
| 04-13 08:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $95.12 |
| 04-12 10:04 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $59.75 |
| 04-12 09:15 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999996 | $300.00 |
| 04-12 08:59 | Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1012304217 | $30.00 |
| 04-12 08:35 | Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9604119182 | $69.95 |
| 04-12 08:13 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.4436607712 | $139.97 |
| 04-11 08:36 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7962708904 | $483.77 |
| 04-11 08:30 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BUY | 0.8019999988 | $100.00 |