RomaNord
0x7b1771d819bed0cc10e45c8e0edb9e4789ad2fc6
- Realised P&L
- $-435.97
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.359 | 0.235 | $642.32 | −$340.16 |
| Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.150 | $243.03 | −$8.55 |
| Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.130 | $197.37 | +$2.72 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.370 | $119.19 | +$21.19 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No | 0.613 | 0.460 | $75.01 | −$24.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Down | 0.408 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.725 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.75at 0.673Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$52.15at 0.590Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 11:11 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $9.50 |
| 07-23 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $25.00 |
| 07-22 13:21 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 16:37 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3046373799 | $98.00 |
| 07-21 09:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 09:27 | Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.0915434521 | $93.00 |
| 07-21 09:25 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.1016375517 | $105.00 |
| 05-26 07:52 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.2813123201 | $63.31 |
| 05-26 07:50 | Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.2052087632 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 00:15 | Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 05-25 00:09 | Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 05-21 08:38 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.6132225187 | $100.00 |