0x7afd0629defef0aa85f66a31a240da5ed7c2a1cc
0x7afd0629defef0aa85f66a31a240da5ed7c2a1cc
- Realised P&L
- $131.61
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $48.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.56at 0.208Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$63.03at 0.209Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$34.73at 0.193Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
- +$30.84at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$26.45at 0.073Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 21:43 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 21:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 19:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.3975020625 | $43.36 |
| 10-04 19:15 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $48.75 |
| 10-04 11:41 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999982 | $24.00 |
| 10-04 11:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $25.81 |
| 10-03 19:24 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3486055771 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 19:24 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 14:51 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.0051282974 | $4.28 |
| 10-02 14:25 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.012952499 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 14:24 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.0125 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 14:22 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 04:00 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.0539999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 06:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.5021127012 | $112.63 |
| 10-01 06:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.2092188471 | $47.11 |