nofear763
0x7af9ea44e02130f69fa136f4ae7e6df5ad59d415
- Realised P&L
- $264.93
- Volume
- $42.6k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $256.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.78at 0.355US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$78.89at 0.289Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$49.41at 0.400Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$48.86at 0.030US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$40.24at 0.221Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 02:28 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.57 | $14.25 |
| 10-04 02:28 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 10-03 18:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.58 | $63.70 |
| 10-03 18:00 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.7603489583 | $35.04 |
| 10-03 17:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 10-02 23:01 | Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.499375 | $39.95 |
| 10-02 15:08 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | SELL | 0.86 | $38.17 |
| 10-02 15:07 | Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.063 | $5.28 |
| 10-02 00:16 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.73 | $43.57 |
| 10-02 00:13 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.322 | $32.20 |
| 10-01 18:17 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 10-01 18:14 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.7241171765 | $61.55 |
| 10-01 18:07 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | SELL | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 10-01 12:58 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 10-01 09:44 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.46 | $14.66 |