0x7af4751b179ad29095bf74165ae03c8658d81cf0
0x7af4751b179ad29095bf74165ae03c8658d81cf0
- Realised P&L
- $-146.83
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $17.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.270 | $4.52 | −$0.50 |
| Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.100 | $3.12 | −$1.88 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.007 | $3.10 | −$16.90 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.105 | $2.02 | −$2.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.05at 0.342Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
- +$-0.05at 0.161Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$-0.24at 0.048Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
- +$-0.25at 0.522Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$-1.02at 0.077Will the Republican Party win the VA-07 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:52 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.0041579251 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 05:45 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.098999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 05:29 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0939562634 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 03:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 04:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.2001955482 | $9.62 |
| 09-15 04:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 04:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.207999996 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 04:33 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0483552551 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 04:32 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.1234356895 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 19:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.24 | $39.63 |
| 09-13 19:40 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 19:40 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.89 |
| 09-13 19:40 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 19:39 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $5.00 |