KeithStarmer
0x7ae8b850049d07152b1741fbde10c7b6c0a45a42
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $238.3k
- Markets traded
- 707
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded707
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$462.28at 0.107Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$432.83at 0.161Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$312.78at 0.966Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$263.02at 0.941Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
- +$246.99at 0.177Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:20 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 23:52 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 10-31 23:11 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $218.99 |
| 10-30 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 10-30 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.95 |
| 10-29 22:57 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.40 |
| 10-29 22:56 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.031 | $6.20 |
| 10-29 22:54 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $4.94 |
| 10-29 22:01 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 10-29 12:21 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.041 | $4.10 |
| 10-29 12:21 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 10-29 11:34 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 10-29 11:21 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.041 | $4.10 |
| 10-29 11:21 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 10-26 19:21 | Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.72 |