PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Draftking

0x7adfd7f206cc68b7736a85d02ec4e3d827547fdf

Realised P&L
$65.18
Volume
$222.7k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$94.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.8490.869$59.41+$1.34
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass? · No0.6831.000$26.84+$8.49
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.1100.115$7.87+$0.34
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.3800.000$0.00$75.24
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates · No0.0900.000$0.00$8.28
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? · No0.1300.000$0.00$3.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-18 18:57Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?BUY0.13$3.51
04-18 18:57Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?BUY0.85$22.67
04-18 18:55Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.8488973684$58.06
04-18 18:54Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.11$7.53
02-24 09:40Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesBUY0.09$8.28
02-24 09:40No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY0.902$82.98
02-24 03:07US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.38$75.24
01-03 21:06Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?BUY0.82$34.44
01-03 20:28Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.037$1.11
01-03 20:27Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.037$1.11
01-03 20:24Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.44$6.16
01-03 20:24Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.44$22.00
03-31 16:10Is Earth flat?BUY0.9699999889$63.60
03-31 16:09Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?SELL0.9811542734$63.60
01-23 13:17Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?BUY0.9739999998$63.14