supermon99
0x7a9b941470d83779cfc38f76dcc299b45f0f4f46
- Realised P&L
- $-337.85
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $6.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.28at 0.137Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$97.47at 0.202Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?
- +$21.98at 0.649Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15?
- +$8.73at 0.633Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$8.33at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:26 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1669228827 | $112.17 |
| 09-22 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.043211477 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0191495677 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0158163407 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0103792119 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0059751831 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0658821755 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0672283971 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 14:53 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.6825698448 | $144.68 |
| 09-22 10:10 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2151875371 | $447.09 |
| 09-21 07:30 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.623342129 | $132.13 |
| 09-07 01:16 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | SELL | 0.75 | $135.34 |